Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234657           4          45          39          11           1        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000936230           4          40          48           8           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   7.21105e-07           1           0          55          34          10        C8.6
est. ISN   =            76           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.50       23.50       50.25       20.25        3.50     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3