Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232101           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000888432           5          45          41           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   4.67834e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =            61           3          15          61          19           2        C3.7
 
together                             4.25       25.75       55.50       13.75        0.75     C2.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.8