Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232052           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000887714           5          46          40           9           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   4.24574e-07           1           1          80          16           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             4.00       25.25       55.75       14.00        1.00     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0