Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232048           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000879012          10          44          41           5           0        B8.9
GOES Xray  =   4.94911e-07           3           1          61          35           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             6.00       27.50       52.25       13.75        0.50     C2.0
 
realized                                                                                      C8.7