Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229934          12          39          40           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000828565          13          45          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.10306e-07           3          11          77           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            16          16          65          16           3           0        B2.7
 
together                            11.00       40.00       41.75        7.25        0.00     B8.9
 
realized                                                                                      B7.6