Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229579          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817845          18          45          28           9           0        B5.5
GOES Xray  =   2.52647e-07           2          34          55           9           0        C1.3
est. ISN   =            26           7          53          34           6           0        B6.7
 
together                             9.75       43.00       39.25        8.00        0.00     B9.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.4