Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229527          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819068          17          43          31           9           0        B6.5
GOES Xray  =   2.55993e-07           1          30          60           9           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             9.00       41.75       40.25        9.00        0.00     B9.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1