Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230149          12          42          37           9           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000828589          13          45          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.06338e-07           4          11          76           9           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             8.25       36.00       46.25        9.50        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      B8.1