Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230059          12          39          40           9           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000827227          13          46          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.13024e-07           3          11          76          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             8.00       35.50       47.00        9.50        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7