Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230449          10          42          37          11           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000841924          13          47          33           7           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   3.40418e-07           3           5          75          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             7.50       35.00       45.75       11.75        0.00     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.1