Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230091          12          42          37           9           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000834764          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   2.63391e-07           1          30          62           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.75       43.00       41.00        7.25        0.00     B9.6
 
realized                                                                                      B6.5