Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230556          11          41          37          11           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000845282          13          48          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.40697e-07           3           5          75          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             8.50       37.25       44.00       10.25        0.00     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6