Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230911          10          39          40          11           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000851989          13          49          35           3           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.63216e-07           2           5          75          18           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =            32           4          46          38          12           0        C1.0
 
together                             7.25       34.75       47.00       11.00        0.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C5.3