Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235567           5          40          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000947412           1          35          50          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   8.11288e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.75       21.00       51.50       22.25        3.50     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.3