Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236525           2          29          58           9           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000960047           2          30          54          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   9.37061e-07           1           0          45          45           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.50       17.00       54.00       23.75        3.75     C4.0
 
realized                                                                                      M6.0