Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235848           4          33          51          11           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000944641           1          35          54          10           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   8.75108e-07           1           0          50          43           6        C9.8
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.50       17.25       53.50       24.50        3.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5