Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235467           4          41          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000936020           4          39          49           8           0        C1.5
GOES Xray  =   8.08717e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             2.25       20.75       52.75       20.75        3.50     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.1