Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235575           4          41          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000945854           1          34          53          12           0        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   7.63021e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50       18.75       55.50       21.00        3.25     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.1