Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236132           4          30          55          10           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000963225           1          30          53          14           2        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   8.23730e-07           1           0          54          36           9        C8.4
est. ISN   =            95           1           0          70          24           5        C5.6
 
together                             1.50       15.00       58.25       21.00        4.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C7.4