Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237159           1          28          57          12           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000978888           3          22          52          20           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   9.16874e-07           1           0          47          44           8        M1.1
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.00       12.75       55.75       26.00        4.50     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C8.7