Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235867           4          33          52          10           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000956279           2          34          52          11           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   7.97374e-07           1           0          51          40           8        C9.8
est. ISN   =            80           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             1.75       17.50       55.25       22.00        3.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6