Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235397           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000950381           1          33          51          14           1        C1.9
GOES Xray  =   7.54496e-07           1           0          48          43           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.00       20.50       50.25       24.00        3.25     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8