Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233111           4          48          37          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000902111           4          48          39           9           0        B9.8
GOES Xray  =   5.53903e-07           1           0          71          24           4        C5.6
est. ISN   =            82           2           1          58          33           6        C7.2
 
together                             2.50       24.25       51.50       19.25        2.50     C2.9
 
realized                                                                                      C6.0