Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232508           5          41          46           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000893573           5          44          43           8           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   5.37618e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            64           4          11          58          25           2        C3.6
 
together                             3.75       24.00       53.75       17.25        1.25     C2.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4