Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00233380           3          48          37          12           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000896406           5          45          40          10           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   6.35577e-07           1           0          64          30           5        C6.9
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             3.50       34.25       46.25       14.50        1.50     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      M2.6