Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232497           5          41          46           8           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000883502           7          40          46           7           0        C1.3
GOES Xray  =   5.04286e-07           2           1          62          34           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            45           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             4.50       26.75       53.75       14.00        1.00     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.2