Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232863           4          45          41          10           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000882901           7          42          44           7           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   6.21331e-07           1           0          66          29           4        C6.4
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             3.25       27.25       53.25       15.00        1.25     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      M5.7