Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231963           7          41          45           7           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000865287          11          48          37           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   5.10419e-07           2           0          65          32           1        C6.0
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             5.75       27.00       53.50       12.75        1.00     C2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8