Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231725           8          41          43           8           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860870          14          47          34           5           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   4.96831e-07           2           1          62          35           0        C6.1
est. ISN   =            35           6          54          30          10           0        B7.6
 
together                             7.50       35.75       42.25       14.50        0.00     C1.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0