Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00231677           7          40          44           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000856386          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   4.90686e-07           3           1          63          32           1        C5.5
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             7.25       31.50       47.75       12.75        0.75     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3