Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230922          10          39          40          11           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000858549          14          49          33           4           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.33508e-07           1           1          81          15           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =            56           2          19          62          16           1        C2.7
 
together                             6.50       27.25       54.00       11.50        0.75     C1.9
 
realized                                                                                      M1.4