Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230800          10          39          40          11           0        C1.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000858953          14          49          33           4           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   3.29086e-07           4           9          73          14           0        C2.1
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             7.25       28.75       52.75       11.00        0.25     C1.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.9