Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230936          10          39          40          11           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000861494          13          48          34           5           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   3.43326e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                             7.50       30.25       52.00       10.00        0.25     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C2.1