Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232386           5          40          46           9           0        C1.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000888188           5          45          41           9           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   4.70082e-07           2           1          75          21           1        C4.8
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             4.50       32.50       51.25       11.25        0.50     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0