Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232937           4          47          38          11           0        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000905781           6          51          34           9           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   5.37760e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             3.00       29.00       51.25       15.75        1.00     C2.2
 
realized                                                                                      C9.5