Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235371           5          40          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000959245           2          30          54          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   7.30247e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.5
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             2.00       18.50       52.25       23.50        3.75     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C5.5