Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235827           4          33          51          11           1        C1.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000965272           2          31          50          15           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   7.15117e-07           1           0          56          34           9        C8.5
est. ISN   =            67           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             2.00       17.75       56.25       20.75        3.25     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C3.7