Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237540           3          26          59          10           2        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000995631           2          20          51          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   9.05990e-07           1           0          47          45           7        M1.1
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.75       11.50       57.25       25.75        3.75     C4.3
 
realized                                                                                      C9.7