Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236455           3          29          58           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000984611           3          19          51          24           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   7.35264e-07           1           0          50          40           9        C9.9
est. ISN   =           104           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             2.00       12.25       56.00       25.25        4.50     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.4