Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236681           1          32          57           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000986856           3          18          53          23           3        C3.0
GOES Xray  =   7.59964e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =            92           1           0          76          18           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.50       12.50       58.75       22.75        4.50     C3.9
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2