Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235614           4          39          46          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000971786           2          28          50          17           3        C2.1
GOES Xray  =   6.68226e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             2.00       17.00       53.75       23.25        4.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1