Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236099           4          32          53          10           1        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000979374           3          22          52          20           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   7.19147e-07           1           0          55          34          10        C8.6
est. ISN   =            77           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.25       15.75       54.75       23.00        4.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7