Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235521           4          41          44          10           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000966544           2          31          50          15           2        C2.0
GOES Xray  =   7.05505e-07           1           0          57          34           8        C8.4
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             2.00       20.00       54.50       20.50        3.00     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C3.1