Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234449           4          47          36          12           1        B9.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000947111           1          34          51          13           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   5.74710e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =            68           1           8          67          23           1        C3.8
 
together                             1.50       22.25       56.25       18.50        1.50     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5