Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235199           6          39          43          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000956728           2          34          52          11           1        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   6.69376e-07           1           0          61          32           6        C7.7
est. ISN   =            71           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             2.25       19.25       54.00       21.50        3.00     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      M3.3