Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00237280           1          27          59          11           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000985478           3          19          52          23           3        C2.8
GOES Xray  =   9.40515e-07           1           0          44          46           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =            83           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.50       11.75       53.25       28.50        5.00     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      X1.0