Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236921           1          29          57          11           2        C2.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000980252           3          22          52          20           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   8.60072e-07           1           0          50          41           8        C9.8
est. ISN   =            89           1           0          75          20           4        C4.6
 
together                             1.25       12.75       58.75       23.00        4.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6