Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236620           1          32          56           9           2        C1.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000973526           3          25          50          19           3        C2.3
GOES Xray  =   8.44063e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =            87           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.00       14.25       56.50       23.50        4.75     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7