Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00236678           1          32          57           8           2        C2.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000961752           2          31          50          15           2        C1.7
GOES Xray  =   9.65040e-07           1           0          38          50          11        M1.2
est. ISN   =            91           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.25       15.75       54.75       23.25        5.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.8