Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235066           4          40          44          11           1        C1.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000940555           1          37          51          11           0        C1.6
GOES Xray  =   7.33037e-07           1           0          51          39           9        C9.6
est. ISN   =            88           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             1.75       19.25       54.50       21.25        3.25     C3.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.3